Can Somalis Defeat Al-Shabab?

Defeating Al-Shabab is not just a military challenge—it is a complex battle that requires political stability, social cohesion, economic development, and effective governance. While the Somali people have the resilience and determination to overcome this extremist group, achieving lasting victory requires a multi-faceted approach.

The Strength of the Somali People

Somalis have a long history of resistance against oppression, from colonial powers to internal conflicts. Al-Shabab, despite its violent grip on parts of the country, does not represent the will of the Somali people. There is growing opposition to the group from civilians, clan elders, and religious leaders who reject its extremist ideology. The recent grassroots uprisings, particularly in central Somalia, have demonstrated that Somalis are willing to take up arms to rid their communities of this terrorist organization.

Military and Security Challenges

The Somali National Army (SNA), with support from African Union forces (ATMIS) and international partners like the U.S. and Turkey, has made significant progress in reclaiming territories. However, military success alone will not be enough. Al-Shabab operates through guerrilla warfare, exploiting weak governance, corruption, and clan rivalries to maintain its presence. A sustained and well-coordinated security strategy is needed to prevent their resurgence.

The Role of Governance and Stability

One of the main reasons Al-Shabab continues to exist is the failure of Somalia’s government to provide security and basic services in liberated areas. If the government does not fill the power vacuum with functioning institutions, Al-Shabab will simply return. Addressing corruption, improving governance, and ensuring local communities have a stake in the country’s future are essential.

Economic and Social Solutions

Al-Shabab thrives in poverty-stricken areas where people have no alternative means of survival. Many young men join the group out of desperation, not ideology. If Somalia invests in job creation, education, and infrastructure, fewer individuals will be drawn into extremism. International donors must shift from short-term military aid to long-term economic investment.

Regional and International Cooperation

Al-Shabab is not just a Somali problem—it is a regional threat. Kenya, Ethiopia, and other neighboring countries must work with Somalia to secure borders and cut off Al-Shabab’s financing, including illicit trade and taxation. A united regional strategy, combined with sustained international support, will weaken the group’s ability to operate.

Conclusion

Somalis can defeat Al-Shabab, but it will require more than just military operations. It demands strong governance, economic investment, unity among clans, and a long-term strategy to address the root causes of extremism. The Somali people have the strength and resilience to reclaim their country, but the government and its allies must act decisively to make victory permanent.